2026 brings a dose of normality after the late 2025 US government shutdown ,and the US jobs data is back to normal (at least until the next shutdown).
It is with great pleasure that we announce our competition is up and running again.
Dear Traders and FA Members,
Unfortunately, I won’t be able to join today’s live FACE webinar, but because of the importance of the Fed decision later today, I felt it was necessary to share a quick update here in this blog post.
If you have been following our recent webinars with Dale, you know that I have been highlighting a wedge formation on DXY that developed from the September lows. In Elliott Wave terms, this wedge can represent either an ending diagonal of an A-B-C correction or even a leading diagonal of a new bullish trend. What matters is that in both scenarios, I was looking for a reversal from above the 100 area on the Dollar Index — and now we can see that the wedge has been broken, which signals more weakness ahead. Read more
Bitcoin is reversing down from the October highs, and it’s pretty interesting that we’re seeing such a deep retracement so far, already more than 30%, despite the fact that the Fed has been cutting rates for the last few months and now even the bets for a December cut are increasing again. What’s important to understand is that cryptocurrencies are very sensitive to risk-on and risk-off flows, and we’ve seen quite a deep retracement on stocks as well, but what concerns me the most is that even during the days when stocks turned positive, Bitcoin was still seen trading lower. So I wanted to zoom out and check where Bitcoin could really be headed. Read more
