A lot has been said about oil in the past days, and we have seen unprecedented price action. There has been some serious misunderstanding as to what this price action actually represented, so we will try to explain our take on it.
Last week’s Nonfarm Payrolls print – and the subsequent market reaction – made me think about US equities and how their behaviour has changed over the years following the 2008 global financial crisis. Let’s first take a step back and remember how things used to work prior to 2008, regarding the relationship between economic data […]
Gold finally broke out higher from multi-year resistance, and that has certainly caught the market’s attention. Attempts have been made to explain this move, but what are really the factors that move Gold – both in the short term as well as the long term?
The US Dollar has seen an impressive reversal in the past few sessions, and this can be mostly attributed to the reversal seen within the Fed, over the past months. If we recall, only six months ago, the Fed was in “autopilot” mode: tightening bias and unwinding of the balance sheet. Since then, the Fed’s […]
Crude Oil is quite a peculiar instrument to trade, given that its supply side has been managed for decades. If we look at a multi-year chart, there was a very evident move which happened in 2014. The drop from over $100 to $40 was very sharp and relentless, and it was driven mostly by the […]
The USD (DXY) has been range bound for months, and mostly this is a product of many cross currents in the markets. Equity market volatility, weakness of fundamental data globally stating to seep in, the FOMC looking to be at the end of their hike cycle, China and US trade war brewing, and the list […]
The US equity markets are trading heavy after a strong selloff, is there more selling to come?
The EUR/USD has been quite erratic since early 2015. The Greek crisis caused the pair to drop from 1.40 to nearly parity, all in the space of 10 months, and that was a brutal move lower which destroyed longs. Since then, the pair has range traded between 1.04 and 1.24, spending some time near both […]
Precious metals have exhibited broad weakness in the past six months, seemingly contrary to what market conditions might suggest. In the midst of trade wars and Emerging Markets worries, they should – in theory at least – have performed better. But can we identify any fundamental reasons for that? Let’s take a step back and […]