As one of my good friends, who is a very talented trader (@redheadtrader), told me earlier this year “lots of traders I know are camping out long NOK since 2020)” and that always stuck with me as the NOK has been so sensitive to global “risk on” flows. Read more
The USDCAD is nearing the lows from September 2017 at the 1.2061 level. This is important for 2 reasons: Read more
As traders and investors, our innate instinct is to “fade strength and buy weakness” especially if you think something (or asset) is overbought or oversold.
Macro Perspective:
Oil went into free fall in mid-2014, experiencing a relentless bear move which saw oil price drop by over 70%. US shale producers turned out to be the tipping point in terms of the global supply glut. This, combined with a decrease in global demand, proved to be an unstoppable force that lasted for over a year.
During the past few years there has been a good correlation between the Gold and CNH. The Chinese Yuan has been a good proxy for US Dollar relative performance and risk on / risk off flows. As the Dollar strengthens, USDCNH naturally rises and vice versa.
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