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Oil Exhibits Wild Moves – How, Why, What’s Next?
A lot has been said about oil in the past days, and we have seen unprecedented price action. There has been some serious misunderstanding as to what this price action actually represented, so we will try to explain our take on it.
Are US Equities Near a Major Direction Change?
Last week’s Nonfarm Payrolls print – and the subsequent market reaction – made me think about US equities and how their behaviour has changed over the years following the 2008 global financial crisis. Let’s first take a step back and remember how things used to work prior to 2008, regarding the relationship between economic data […]
Gold breaks higher after 6 years of consolidation
Gold finally broke out higher from multi-year resistance, and that has certainly caught the market’s attention. Attempts have been made to explain this move, but what are really the factors that move Gold – both in the short term as well as the long term?
Crude Oil reversed lower from key level. What should we expect going forward?
Crude Oil is quite a peculiar instrument to trade, given that its supply side has been managed for decades. If we look at a multi-year chart, there was a very evident move which happened in 2014. The drop from over $100 to $40 was very sharp and relentless, and it was driven mostly by the […]
The dynamics of the USD, Gold and CNH
During the past few years there has been a good correlation between the Gold and CNH. The Chinese Yuan has been a good proxy for US Dollar relative performance and risk on / risk off flows. As the Dollar strengthens, USDCNH naturally rises and vice versa.
Italy and the European Union: Danger Ahead or Plain Sailing?
With Italy frequently dominating the headlines in the recent weeks, it’s a good idea to take a macro look at the Eurozone: its origins, some aspects of its structure, and what dangers it might face in the near future.
US Equities have rolled over but is this the market top?
The US equity markets are trading heavy after a strong selloff, is there more selling to come?
US Equities and Bonds may give the Forex market a hint
As the equity markets continue to extend their gains into the fall season, we continue to look at what the implications will be on currencies, and what potential outcomes we may have in the current environment.
EURUSD, where to from here?
The EUR/USD has been quite erratic since early 2015. The Greek crisis caused the pair to drop from 1.40 to nearly parity, all in the space of 10 months, and that was a brutal move lower which destroyed longs. Since then, the pair has range traded between 1.04 and 1.24, spending some time near both […]